Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23 due to ensemble forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations from Cape Town International Airport and nearby stations indicate temperatures tracking near 12–14°C in the evening, with dew points around 9–11°C supporting further drops into the single digits by early morning. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where minimums typically range 9–11°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected wind shift could allow the reading to reach 7°C or below, while persistent cloud cover or warmer advection would push it higher; updated model runs and official South African Weather Service bulletins through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日開普敦最低溫度？
8月23日開普敦最低溫度？
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$6,291 交易量
$6,291 交易量
2026-08-23
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或以上
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$6,291 交易量
$6,291 交易量
2026-08-23
6°C或以下
$452 交易量
1%
7°C
$148 交易量
2%
8°C
$241 交易量
98%
9°C
$916 交易量
<1%
10°C
$458 交易量
<1%
11°C
$472 交易量
<1%
12°C
$571 交易量
<1%
13°C
$413 交易量
<1%
14°C
$58 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,259 交易量
<1%
16°C或以上
$1,303 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23 due to ensemble forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations from Cape Town International Airport and nearby stations indicate temperatures tracking near 12–14°C in the evening, with dew points around 9–11°C supporting further drops into the single digits by early morning. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where minimums typically range 9–11°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected wind shift could allow the reading to reach 7°C or below, while persistent cloud cover or warmer advection would push it higher; updated model runs and official South African Weather Service bulletins through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$6,291結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23 due to ensemble forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations from Cape Town International Airport and nearby stations indicate temperatures tracking near 12–14°C in the evening, with dew points around 9–11°C supporting further drops into the single digits by early morning. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where minimums typically range 9–11°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected wind shift could allow the reading to reach 7°C or below, while persistent cloud cover or warmer advection would push it higher; updated model runs and official South African Weather Service bulletins through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,291結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23 due to ensemble forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations from Cape Town International Airport and nearby stations indicate temperatures tracking near 12–14°C in the evening, with dew points around 9–11°C supporting further drops into the single digits by early morning. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where minimums typically range 9–11°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected wind shift could allow the reading to reach 7°C or below, while persistent cloud cover or warmer advection would push it higher; updated model runs and official South African Weather Service bulletins through the night remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions