Forecast models for Busan on August 24 point to clear, sunny conditions with overnight lows centered near 26°C, consistent with trader consensus clustering tightly around 24–27°C. Recent stabilization after mid-August rainfall and cooling has given way to high pressure, reducing cloud cover and allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Coastal marine influence, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and light variable winds limit further drops, while urban effects and sea surface temperatures provide a buffer against extremes. Minor model differences in timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts explain the near-even odds among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to sub-23°C or 29°C+ scenarios due to established climatological baselines for late-summer coastal Korea.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日釜山最低溫度?
22°C 41%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
41%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C或以上
10%
22°C 41%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
41%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C或以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Busan on August 24 point to clear, sunny conditions with overnight lows centered near 26°C, consistent with trader consensus clustering tightly around 24–27°C. Recent stabilization after mid-August rainfall and cooling has given way to high pressure, reducing cloud cover and allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Coastal marine influence, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and light variable winds limit further drops, while urban effects and sea surface temperatures provide a buffer against extremes. Minor model differences in timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts explain the near-even odds among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to sub-23°C or 29°C+ scenarios due to established climatological baselines for late-summer coastal Korea.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions