Recent forecasts from models like GFS and official guidance indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds over Busan on August 24, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure typical of late summer. Observed highs near 32–33°C on August 23 and seasonal baselines around 29–32°C support trader emphasis on 35°C as the leading outcome, reflecting potential for peak readings at official stations amid low cloud cover and moderate humidity. Ensemble spreads allow for 34–36°C variability, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited intensification signals from current steering patterns. Updated KMA observations and model runs tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日釜山的最高溫度？
8月24日釜山的最高溫度？
35°C 54%
36°C 22%
34°C 20%
33°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
20%
35°C
54%
36°C
22%
37°C
3%
38°C或以上
1%
35°C 54%
36°C 22%
34°C 20%
33°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
28°C或以下
$48 交易量
<1%
29°C
$126 交易量
1%
30°C
$159 交易量
<1%
31°C
$159 交易量
1%
32°C
$319 交易量
1%
33°C
$230 交易量
5%
34°C
$1,280 交易量
20%
35°C
$1,264 交易量
54%
36°C
$2,139 交易量
22%
37°C
$912 交易量
3%
38°C或以上
$744 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and official guidance indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds over Busan on August 24, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure typical of late summer. Observed highs near 32–33°C on August 23 and seasonal baselines around 29–32°C support trader emphasis on 35°C as the leading outcome, reflecting potential for peak readings at official stations amid low cloud cover and moderate humidity. Ensemble spreads allow for 34–36°C variability, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited intensification signals from current steering patterns. Updated KMA observations and model runs tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,372結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and official guidance indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds over Busan on August 24, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure typical of late summer. Observed highs near 32–33°C on August 23 and seasonal baselines around 29–32°C support trader emphasis on 35°C as the leading outcome, reflecting potential for peak readings at official stations amid low cloud cover and moderate humidity. Ensemble spreads allow for 34–36°C variability, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited intensification signals from current steering patterns. Updated KMA observations and model runs tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,372結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from models like GFS and official guidance indicate mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds over Busan on August 24, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure typical of late summer. Observed highs near 32–33°C on August 23 and seasonal baselines around 29–32°C support trader emphasis on 35°C as the leading outcome, reflecting potential for peak readings at official stations amid low cloud cover and moderate humidity. Ensemble spreads allow for 34–36°C variability, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited intensification signals from current steering patterns. Updated KMA observations and model runs tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions