**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日北京最低溫度？
8月23日北京最低溫度？
25°C 95%
23°C 10%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
95%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 95%
23°C 10%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
$137 交易量
1%
20°C
$167 交易量
<1%
21°C
$136 交易量
1%
22°C
$320 交易量
1%
23°C
$326 交易量
10%
24°C
$238 交易量
2%
25°C
$260 交易量
95%
26°C
$222 交易量
<1%
27°C
$401 交易量
<1%
28°C
$301 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,654結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,654結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions