Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and supporting international models project a minimum temperature of 27°C overnight on August 23, driven by persistent high humidity, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed overnight lows near 27–28°C in recent days under similar subtropical conditions and matches the market’s 95% implied probability for exactly 27°C. Significant downward revisions would require unexpected heavier nocturnal rainfall or stronger advection of cooler air, both of which current ensemble guidance assigns low likelihood before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日武漢最低氣溫?
27°C 95%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 95%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and supporting international models project a minimum temperature of 27°C overnight on August 23, driven by persistent high humidity, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed overnight lows near 27–28°C in recent days under similar subtropical conditions and matches the market’s 95% implied probability for exactly 27°C. Significant downward revisions would require unexpected heavier nocturnal rainfall or stronger advection of cooler air, both of which current ensemble guidance assigns low likelihood before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions