Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate an overnight low near 27–28°C in Wuhan on August 24, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus positions 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with nearby values like 26°C and 27°C reflecting typical model spread and resolution uncertainty in minimum temperature observations. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C, but recent high-pressure patterns and elevated dew points have sustained warmer conditions without significant frontal passages. Updated model runs and local station data through the evening of August 23 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日武漢最低氣溫？
8月24日武漢最低氣溫？
32°C或以上 57%
28°C 43%
27°C 31%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
19%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
43%
29°C
26%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C或以上
57%
32°C或以上 57%
28°C 43%
27°C 31%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C或以下
$35 交易量
1%
23°C
$80 交易量
14%
24°C
$55 交易量
19%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
31%
28°C
$0 交易量
43%
29°C
$0 交易量
26%
30°C
$5 交易量
9%
31°C
$149 交易量
24%
32°C或以上
$145 交易量
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate an overnight low near 27–28°C in Wuhan on August 24, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus positions 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with nearby values like 26°C and 27°C reflecting typical model spread and resolution uncertainty in minimum temperature observations. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C, but recent high-pressure patterns and elevated dew points have sustained warmer conditions without significant frontal passages. Updated model runs and local station data through the evening of August 23 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$469結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate an overnight low near 27–28°C in Wuhan on August 24, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus positions 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with nearby values like 26°C and 27°C reflecting typical model spread and resolution uncertainty in minimum temperature observations. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C, but recent high-pressure patterns and elevated dew points have sustained warmer conditions without significant frontal passages. Updated model runs and local station data through the evening of August 23 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$469結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate an overnight low near 27–28°C in Wuhan on August 24, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus positions 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with nearby values like 26°C and 27°C reflecting typical model spread and resolution uncertainty in minimum temperature observations. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C, but recent high-pressure patterns and elevated dew points have sustained warmer conditions without significant frontal passages. Updated model runs and local station data through the evening of August 23 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions