**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日是阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
8月29日是阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
17°C 100.0%
16°C 8%
12°C or below 7%
13°C <1%
$10,173 交易量
$10,173 交易量
2026-08-29
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
16°C 8%
12°C or below 7%
13°C <1%
$10,173 交易量
$10,173 交易量
2026-08-29
12°C or below
$17 交易量
No
13°C
$178 交易量
No
14°C
$43 交易量
No
15°C
$53 交易量
No
16°C
$61 交易量
No
17°C
$101 交易量
Yes
18°C
$9,585 交易量
No
19°C
$20 交易量
No
20°C
$25 交易量
No
21°C
$45 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$45 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$10,173結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,173結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions