Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration, updated September 4, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for September 5 under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with possible light rain or scattered showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns in the region, where average highs hover near 30–32°C absent strong high-pressure ridges or heat advection. Model consensus and limited diurnal warming from cloud cover and moisture explain the heavy market weighting toward 31–32°C (combined ~75% implied probability), while lower odds on 33°C+ reflect the absence of clear, hotter analogs and the moderating influence of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations will refine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日武漢氣溫最高？
9月5日武漢氣溫最高？
32°C 35%
31°C 35%
30°C 16%
33°C 7%
最新
$12,609 交易量
最新
$12,609 交易量
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 35%
30°C 16%
33°C 7%
最新
$12,609 交易量
最新
$12,609 交易量
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
$2,100 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,691 交易量
2%
29°C
$692 交易量
6%
30°C
$918 交易量
16%
31°C
$1,815 交易量
35%
32°C
$797 交易量
35%
33°C
$1,104 交易量
7%
34°C
$1,360 交易量
4%
35°C
$858 交易量
<1%
36°C
$285 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$989 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration, updated September 4, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for September 5 under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with possible light rain or scattered showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns in the region, where average highs hover near 30–32°C absent strong high-pressure ridges or heat advection. Model consensus and limited diurnal warming from cloud cover and moisture explain the heavy market weighting toward 31–32°C (combined ~75% implied probability), while lower odds on 33°C+ reflect the absence of clear, hotter analogs and the moderating influence of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,609結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration, updated September 4, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for September 5 under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with possible light rain or scattered showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns in the region, where average highs hover near 30–32°C absent strong high-pressure ridges or heat advection. Model consensus and limited diurnal warming from cloud cover and moisture explain the heavy market weighting toward 31–32°C (combined ~75% implied probability), while lower odds on 33°C+ reflect the absence of clear, hotter analogs and the moderating influence of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,609結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration, updated September 4, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for September 5 under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with possible light rain or scattered showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns in the region, where average highs hover near 30–32°C absent strong high-pressure ridges or heat advection. Model consensus and limited diurnal warming from cloud cover and moisture explain the heavy market weighting toward 31–32°C (combined ~75% implied probability), while lower odds on 33°C+ reflect the absence of clear, hotter analogs and the moderating influence of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations will refine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions