Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds and afternoon humidity dropping below 60 percent, supporting a peak temperature near 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 24. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps extremes. Current runs show no significant warming signal or heat advection from the interior, keeping 34 °C or higher probabilities low. Traders have priced the 33 °C outcome highest, reflecting model consensus that the daily maximum will settle in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius rather than deviating sharply upward. Updated morning observations on the 24th will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 62%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
33%
33°C
62%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
33%
33°C
62%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds and afternoon humidity dropping below 60 percent, supporting a peak temperature near 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 24. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps extremes. Current runs show no significant warming signal or heat advection from the interior, keeping 34 °C or higher probabilities low. Traders have priced the 33 °C outcome highest, reflecting model consensus that the daily maximum will settle in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius rather than deviating sharply upward. Updated morning observations on the 24th will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions