Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Taipei on September 6 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 25–26°C. Widespread precipitation enhances evaporative cooling while thick cloud layers limit solar radiation reaching the surface, preventing temperatures from approaching the seasonal average near 30°C. Current surface observations hover near 25°C amid 90–100% humidity and moderate northwest winds, aligning with the market’s strong 69.5% implied probability for 25°C and 23.3% for 26°C. Any break in rainfall timing or localized clearing could nudge the peak slightly higher, but model consensus favors continued suppression through the afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日臺北氣溫最高？
9月6日臺北氣溫最高？
25°C 91.3%
26°C 7.8%
27°C 1.6%
24°C或以下 <1%
$34,764 交易量
$34,764 交易量
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
91%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
25°C 91.3%
26°C 7.8%
27°C 1.6%
24°C或以下 <1%
$34,764 交易量
$34,764 交易量
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
$431 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,705 交易量
91%
26°C
$5,390 交易量
8%
27°C
$4,816 交易量
2%
28°C
$4,960 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,971 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,633 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,259 交易量
<1%
32°C
$709 交易量
<1%
33°C
$607 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$282 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Taipei on September 6 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 25–26°C. Widespread precipitation enhances evaporative cooling while thick cloud layers limit solar radiation reaching the surface, preventing temperatures from approaching the seasonal average near 30°C. Current surface observations hover near 25°C amid 90–100% humidity and moderate northwest winds, aligning with the market’s strong 69.5% implied probability for 25°C and 23.3% for 26°C. Any break in rainfall timing or localized clearing could nudge the peak slightly higher, but model consensus favors continued suppression through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$34,764結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Taipei on September 6 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 25–26°C. Widespread precipitation enhances evaporative cooling while thick cloud layers limit solar radiation reaching the surface, preventing temperatures from approaching the seasonal average near 30°C. Current surface observations hover near 25°C amid 90–100% humidity and moderate northwest winds, aligning with the market’s strong 69.5% implied probability for 25°C and 23.3% for 26°C. Any break in rainfall timing or localized clearing could nudge the peak slightly higher, but model consensus favors continued suppression through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,764結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Taipei on September 6 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 25–26°C. Widespread precipitation enhances evaporative cooling while thick cloud layers limit solar radiation reaching the surface, preventing temperatures from approaching the seasonal average near 30°C. Current surface observations hover near 25°C amid 90–100% humidity and moderate northwest winds, aligning with the market’s strong 69.5% implied probability for 25°C and 23.3% for 26°C. Any break in rainfall timing or localized clearing could nudge the peak slightly higher, but model consensus favors continued suppression through the afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions