**Confirmed observational data from Panama City meteorological stations established a daily maximum of 32°C on August 29, 2026, producing the market's near-certain outcome.** In Panama's tropical climate, late-August highs typically reach 28–31°C under humid conditions with afternoon convection, and this reading falls squarely within seasonal norms without notable heatwave drivers or model deviations. Official records from sources such as the national weather service align with this value, giving traders high confidence in the resolution threshold. Only an unprecedented post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across reporting networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,320 交易量
$21,320 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,320 交易量
$21,320 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Confirmed observational data from Panama City meteorological stations established a daily maximum of 32°C on August 29, 2026, producing the market's near-certain outcome.** In Panama's tropical climate, late-August highs typically reach 28–31°C under humid conditions with afternoon convection, and this reading falls squarely within seasonal norms without notable heatwave drivers or model deviations. Official records from sources such as the national weather service align with this value, giving traders high confidence in the resolution threshold. Only an unprecedented post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across reporting networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions