Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 23, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain across central Mexico, limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum in Mexico City to the 18–22°C range. This pattern stems from a stalled weather system enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential ahead of August 24. Trader consensus around 20°C (36.5%) and 21°C (32.0%) reflects this model agreement and historical analogs of rainy late-August days, while lower probabilities for 22°C or above account for possible brief clearing. Updated official observations from Mexico’s meteorological service and the next model cycles will provide key resolution signals before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
8月24日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
22°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C或以上
1%
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
22°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
15°C或以下
$135 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$41 交易量
2%
18°C
$174 交易量
5%
19°C
$78 交易量
14%
20°C
$385 交易量
35%
21°C
$283 交易量
32%
22°C
$213 交易量
14%
23°C
$117 交易量
4%
24°C
$82 交易量
2%
25°C或以上
$70 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 23, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain across central Mexico, limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum in Mexico City to the 18–22°C range. This pattern stems from a stalled weather system enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential ahead of August 24. Trader consensus around 20°C (36.5%) and 21°C (32.0%) reflects this model agreement and historical analogs of rainy late-August days, while lower probabilities for 22°C or above account for possible brief clearing. Updated official observations from Mexico’s meteorological service and the next model cycles will provide key resolution signals before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,583結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 23, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain across central Mexico, limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum in Mexico City to the 18–22°C range. This pattern stems from a stalled weather system enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential ahead of August 24. Trader consensus around 20°C (36.5%) and 21°C (32.0%) reflects this model agreement and historical analogs of rainy late-August days, while lower probabilities for 22°C or above account for possible brief clearing. Updated official observations from Mexico’s meteorological service and the next model cycles will provide key resolution signals before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,583結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of August 23, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain across central Mexico, limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum in Mexico City to the 18–22°C range. This pattern stems from a stalled weather system enhancing moisture transport and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential ahead of August 24. Trader consensus around 20°C (36.5%) and 21°C (32.0%) reflects this model agreement and historical analogs of rainy late-August days, while lower probabilities for 22°C or above account for possible brief clearing. Updated official observations from Mexico’s meteorological service and the next model cycles will provide key resolution signals before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions