Recent short-term forecast models from agencies including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to a daily maximum in Kuala Lumpur on August 24 most likely reaching 34–35 °C, driven by strong solar insolation under the southwest monsoon, limited cloud cover in the morning hours, and typical urban heat-island effects. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 32 °C with high humidity often moderating peaks through afternoon convection, yet recent model runs reflect slightly drier conditions that favor the upper end of the normal range. Traders’ implied probabilities align closely with these guidance trends while acknowledging remaining uncertainty from possible localized thunderstorms that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Official temperature observations, expected from the main Kuala Lumpur station by evening on the 24th, will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
34°C 49%
35°C 37%
33°C 8%
36°C或以上 6%
$11,073 交易量
$11,073 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
49%
35°C
37%
36°C或以上
6%
34°C 49%
35°C 37%
33°C 8%
36°C或以上 6%
$11,073 交易量
$11,073 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
49%
35°C
37%
36°C或以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast models from agencies including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to a daily maximum in Kuala Lumpur on August 24 most likely reaching 34–35 °C, driven by strong solar insolation under the southwest monsoon, limited cloud cover in the morning hours, and typical urban heat-island effects. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 32 °C with high humidity often moderating peaks through afternoon convection, yet recent model runs reflect slightly drier conditions that favor the upper end of the normal range. Traders’ implied probabilities align closely with these guidance trends while acknowledging remaining uncertainty from possible localized thunderstorms that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Official temperature observations, expected from the main Kuala Lumpur station by evening on the 24th, will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions