Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 33°C or 34°C on August 10 because long-term August climatology for Kuala Lumpur centers on daytime maxima of 32–33°C, with short-term numerical weather prediction guidance from regional models showing similar values amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat retention and moderate humidity, supports these levels, while the forecast presence of isolated afternoon thunderstorms—common in this season—introduces modest cooling potential that caps upside risk above 35°C. Recent model consensus through early August 2026 has remained stable without signals of anomalous warming or suppressed convection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C viable but less favored and extremes below 31°C or above 35°C at very low probabilities. Official monitoring from METMalaysia and similar agencies will provide the final verified maximum for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
8月10日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
48%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
26°C或以下
$896 交易量
<1%
27°C
$444 交易量
<1%
28°C
$398 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,311 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,405 交易量
<1%
31°C
$342 交易量
5%
32°C
$566 交易量
18%
33°C
$685 交易量
48%
34°C
$937 交易量
31%
35°C
$403 交易量
5%
36°C或更高
$982 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 33°C or 34°C on August 10 because long-term August climatology for Kuala Lumpur centers on daytime maxima of 32–33°C, with short-term numerical weather prediction guidance from regional models showing similar values amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat retention and moderate humidity, supports these levels, while the forecast presence of isolated afternoon thunderstorms—common in this season—introduces modest cooling potential that caps upside risk above 35°C. Recent model consensus through early August 2026 has remained stable without signals of anomalous warming or suppressed convection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C viable but less favored and extremes below 31°C or above 35°C at very low probabilities. Official monitoring from METMalaysia and similar agencies will provide the final verified maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,368結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 33°C or 34°C on August 10 because long-term August climatology for Kuala Lumpur centers on daytime maxima of 32–33°C, with short-term numerical weather prediction guidance from regional models showing similar values amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat retention and moderate humidity, supports these levels, while the forecast presence of isolated afternoon thunderstorms—common in this season—introduces modest cooling potential that caps upside risk above 35°C. Recent model consensus through early August 2026 has remained stable without signals of anomalous warming or suppressed convection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C viable but less favored and extremes below 31°C or above 35°C at very low probabilities. Official monitoring from METMalaysia and similar agencies will provide the final verified maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,368結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 33°C or 34°C on August 10 because long-term August climatology for Kuala Lumpur centers on daytime maxima of 32–33°C, with short-term numerical weather prediction guidance from regional models showing similar values amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat retention and moderate humidity, supports these levels, while the forecast presence of isolated afternoon thunderstorms—common in this season—introduces modest cooling potential that caps upside risk above 35°C. Recent model consensus through early August 2026 has remained stable without signals of anomalous warming or suppressed convection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C viable but less favored and extremes below 31°C or above 35°C at very low probabilities. Official monitoring from METMalaysia and similar agencies will provide the final verified maximum for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions