Official forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models such as GFS align on a maximum temperature of 30°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds and humidity near 70%. This consensus, reflected in the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C, stems from consistent model runs showing peak daytime heating reaching but not surpassing that threshold amid typical late-monsoon conditions. Traders appear to view the outcome as effectively locked based on verified observational data and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized variations in cloud cover, sea breeze timing, or final measurement adjustments at primary stations, though such shifts remain unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
30°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$25,693 交易量
$25,693 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$25,693 交易量
$25,693 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models such as GFS align on a maximum temperature of 30°C for Karachi on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds and humidity near 70%. This consensus, reflected in the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C, stems from consistent model runs showing peak daytime heating reaching but not surpassing that threshold amid typical late-monsoon conditions. Traders appear to view the outcome as effectively locked based on verified observational data and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized variations in cloud cover, sea breeze timing, or final measurement adjustments at primary stations, though such shifts remain unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions