**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日香港最高溫度?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,990 交易量
$173,990 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,990 交易量
$173,990 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions