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icon for 8月28日香港最高溫度?

8月28日香港最高溫度?

icon for 8月28日香港最高溫度?

8月28日香港最高溫度?

32°C 99.8%

33°C <1%

25°C or below <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$173,990 交易量

32°C 99.8%

33°C <1%

25°C or below <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$173,990 交易量

25°C or below

$2,228 交易量

<1%

26°C

$2,223 交易量

<1%

27°C

$2,287 交易量

<1%

28°C

$3,377 交易量

<1%

29°C

$13,252 交易量

<1%

30°C

$20,236 交易量

<1%

31°C

$34,489 交易量

<1%

32°C

$56,428 交易量

100%

33°C

$29,179 交易量

<1%

34°C

$5,934 交易量

<1%

35°C or higher

$4,357 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$173,990
結束日期
2026-08-28
市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$173,990
結束日期
2026-08-28
市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月28日香港最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32°C" at 100%, followed by "25°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月28日香港最高溫度?" has generated $174K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月28日香港最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月28日香港最高溫度?" is "32°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月28日香港最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.