Trader consensus strongly favors a 35°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting official forecasts from regional meteorological services projecting afternoon peaks near that level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity. September climatology for the city shows a long-term average daily maximum of 32.7°C, with urban heat island amplification in the Pearl River Delta and variable monsoon steering often adding 1–3°C at standard observing stations. Current model consensus indicates low risk of 36°C or higher due to persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting insolation, though brief clearing could produce short spikes. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station before local midnight; any rapid intensification of convection or measurement adjustments remain the main variables that could shift outcomes within the narrow implied-probability band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日廣州最高溫度？
9月5日廣州最高溫度？
35°C 96.5%
36°C 1.3%
37°C或以上 <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$121,300 交易量
$121,300 交易量
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
97%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
1%
35°C 96.5%
36°C 1.3%
37°C或以上 <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$121,300 交易量
$121,300 交易量
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
$565 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,662 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,826 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,673 交易量
<1%
31°C
$9,756 交易量
<1%
32°C
$10,276 交易量
<1%
33°C
$14,530 交易量
<1%
34°C
$16,726 交易量
<1%
35°C
$26,581 交易量
97%
36°C
$21,339 交易量
1%
37°C或以上
$11,366 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 35°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting official forecasts from regional meteorological services projecting afternoon peaks near that level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity. September climatology for the city shows a long-term average daily maximum of 32.7°C, with urban heat island amplification in the Pearl River Delta and variable monsoon steering often adding 1–3°C at standard observing stations. Current model consensus indicates low risk of 36°C or higher due to persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting insolation, though brief clearing could produce short spikes. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station before local midnight; any rapid intensification of convection or measurement adjustments remain the main variables that could shift outcomes within the narrow implied-probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$121,300結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 35°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting official forecasts from regional meteorological services projecting afternoon peaks near that level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity. September climatology for the city shows a long-term average daily maximum of 32.7°C, with urban heat island amplification in the Pearl River Delta and variable monsoon steering often adding 1–3°C at standard observing stations. Current model consensus indicates low risk of 36°C or higher due to persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting insolation, though brief clearing could produce short spikes. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station before local midnight; any rapid intensification of convection or measurement adjustments remain the main variables that could shift outcomes within the narrow implied-probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$121,300結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTrader consensus strongly favors a 35°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting official forecasts from regional meteorological services projecting afternoon peaks near that level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity. September climatology for the city shows a long-term average daily maximum of 32.7°C, with urban heat island amplification in the Pearl River Delta and variable monsoon steering often adding 1–3°C at standard observing stations. Current model consensus indicates low risk of 36°C or higher due to persistent humidity and cloud cover limiting insolation, though brief clearing could produce short spikes. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station before local midnight; any rapid intensification of convection or measurement adjustments remain the main variables that could shift outcomes within the narrow implied-probability band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions