Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日達拉斯的最高溫度?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
94-95°F 2%
$26,559 交易量
$26,559 交易量
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
1%
華氏104度或更高
1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
94-95°F 2%
$26,559 交易量
$26,559 交易量
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
1%
華氏104度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions