Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including inputs aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, centers Chengdu's September 14 high near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain. Cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light winds and basin topography trap moisture, narrowing the temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 25–27°C, but recent model runs show slight downward revisions due to incoming moisture. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide and final station readings—typically the official daily maximum—will resolve the market once observations are finalized later on the 14th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日成都最高溫度？
9月14日成都最高溫度？
24°C 26%
26°C 24%
25°C 24%
22°C或以下 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
12%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
24°C 26%
26°C 24%
25°C 24%
22°C或以下 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$1,014 交易量
12%
23°C
$480 交易量
11%
24°C
$1,558 交易量
26%
25°C
$377 交易量
24%
26°C
$653 交易量
24%
27°C
$515 交易量
7%
28°C
$451 交易量
4%
29°C
$441 交易量
2%
30°C
$238 交易量
<1%
31°C
$418 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$431 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including inputs aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, centers Chengdu's September 14 high near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain. Cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light winds and basin topography trap moisture, narrowing the temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 25–27°C, but recent model runs show slight downward revisions due to incoming moisture. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide and final station readings—typically the official daily maximum—will resolve the market once observations are finalized later on the 14th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,576結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including inputs aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, centers Chengdu's September 14 high near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain. Cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light winds and basin topography trap moisture, narrowing the temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 25–27°C, but recent model runs show slight downward revisions due to incoming moisture. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide and final station readings—typically the official daily maximum—will resolve the market once observations are finalized later on the 14th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,576結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast consensus from global and regional models, including inputs aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, centers Chengdu's September 14 high near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain. Cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light winds and basin topography trap moisture, narrowing the temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 25–27°C, but recent model runs show slight downward revisions due to incoming moisture. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide and final station readings—typically the official daily maximum—will resolve the market once observations are finalized later on the 14th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions