GitHub’s recent August 17 outage, which lasted nearly eight hours and disrupted authentication, Actions, APIs, pull requests, issues, and Copilot, stems from surging platform load that overwhelmed autoscaling policies and an Istio sidecar concurrency limit in its Central US data center. Monthly commits have doubled to 2.9 billion since April, driven by AI-assisted development and broader usage, exposing capacity shortfalls despite earlier additions of millions of CPU cores and storage. Azure now handles 58% of load and half of all Git operations, up from 12% in May, as part of an accelerated migration. Core Git operations have seen 19 incidents in the prior year amid 48 major outages overall. GitHub is prioritizing linear read scaling for large monorepos, standardized retry limits, and bottleneck removal ahead of further growth, though traders note that architectural changes often take months to stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-08-31
August 31
2%
September 30
22%
October 31
44%
$2,959 交易量
August 31
$535 交易量
2%
September 30
$951 交易量
22%
October 31
$1,473 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub's Git Operations service experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.
Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered.
If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.
Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GitHub’s recent August 17 outage, which lasted nearly eight hours and disrupted authentication, Actions, APIs, pull requests, issues, and Copilot, stems from surging platform load that overwhelmed autoscaling policies and an Istio sidecar concurrency limit in its Central US data center. Monthly commits have doubled to 2.9 billion since April, driven by AI-assisted development and broader usage, exposing capacity shortfalls despite earlier additions of millions of CPU cores and storage. Azure now handles 58% of load and half of all Git operations, up from 12% in May, as part of an accelerated migration. Core Git operations have seen 19 incidents in the prior year amid 48 major outages overall. GitHub is prioritizing linear read scaling for large monorepos, standardized retry limits, and bottleneck removal ahead of further growth, though traders note that architectural changes often take months to stabilize.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub's Git Operations service experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.
Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered.
If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.
Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.
Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered.
If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.
Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$2,959結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub's Git Operations service experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.
Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered.
If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.
Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GitHub’s recent August 17 outage, which lasted nearly eight hours and disrupted authentication, Actions, APIs, pull requests, issues, and Copilot, stems from surging platform load that overwhelmed autoscaling policies and an Istio sidecar concurrency limit in its Central US data center. Monthly commits have doubled to 2.9 billion since April, driven by AI-assisted development and broader usage, exposing capacity shortfalls despite earlier additions of millions of CPU cores and storage. Azure now handles 58% of load and half of all Git operations, up from 12% in May, as part of an accelerated migration. Core Git operations have seen 19 incidents in the prior year amid 48 major outages overall. GitHub is prioritizing linear read scaling for large monorepos, standardized retry limits, and bottleneck removal ahead of further growth, though traders note that architectural changes often take months to stabilize.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub's Git Operations service experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.
Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered.
If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.
Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.
Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered.
If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.
Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,959結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GitHub’s recent August 17 outage, which lasted nearly eight hours and disrupted authentication, Actions, APIs, pull requests, issues, and Copilot, stems from surging platform load that overwhelmed autoscaling policies and an Istio sidecar concurrency limit in its Central US data center. Monthly commits have doubled to 2.9 billion since April, driven by AI-assisted development and broader usage, exposing capacity shortfalls despite earlier additions of millions of CPU cores and storage. Azure now handles 58% of load and half of all Git operations, up from 12% in May, as part of an accelerated migration. Core Git operations have seen 19 incidents in the prior year amid 48 major outages overall. GitHub is prioritizing linear read scaling for large monorepos, standardized retry limits, and bottleneck removal ahead of further growth, though traders note that architectural changes often take months to stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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