Flavio Bolsonaro’s selection of conservative Congressman Alfredo Gaspar as running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven near-certain trader consensus in the Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. The announcement ended weeks of internal speculation and aligned with party discussions that had centered on Gaspar for months, providing regional balance from the northeast and reinforcing the PL’s congressional base. Other names, including family members and female politicians previously floated to broaden appeal, now carry negligible implied probability. While the outcome appears locked, late developments such as a formal withdrawal, major legal ruling against Gaspar, or sudden ticket revision before ballot finalization could still alter the result ahead of the election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾 98.1%
米歇爾·博索納羅 <1%
席莫內·馬爾凱托 <1%
丹妮拉·馬克斯 <1%
$23,807 交易量
$23,807 交易量
阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾
98%
米歇爾·博索納羅
1%
席莫內·馬爾凱托
<1%
丹妮拉·馬克斯
<1%
朱利婭·扎納塔
<1%
馬克斯·龐特斯
<1%
克拉麗莎·特西奧
<1%
普莉西拉·科斯塔
<1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
達瑪瑞絲·阿爾維斯
<1%
雷納塔·阿布雷烏
<1%
吉爾森·馬查多
<1%
比亞·基西斯
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
羅傑里奧·馬里尼奧
<1%
阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾 98.1%
米歇爾·博索納羅 <1%
席莫內·馬爾凱托 <1%
丹妮拉·馬克斯 <1%
$23,807 交易量
$23,807 交易量
阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾
98%
米歇爾·博索納羅
1%
席莫內·馬爾凱托
<1%
丹妮拉·馬克斯
<1%
朱利婭·扎納塔
<1%
馬克斯·龐特斯
<1%
克拉麗莎·特西奧
<1%
普莉西拉·科斯塔
<1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
達瑪瑞絲·阿爾維斯
<1%
雷納塔·阿布雷烏
<1%
吉爾森·馬查多
<1%
比亞·基西斯
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
羅傑里奧·馬里尼奧
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s selection of conservative Congressman Alfredo Gaspar as running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven near-certain trader consensus in the Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. The announcement ended weeks of internal speculation and aligned with party discussions that had centered on Gaspar for months, providing regional balance from the northeast and reinforcing the PL’s congressional base. Other names, including family members and female politicians previously floated to broaden appeal, now carry negligible implied probability. While the outcome appears locked, late developments such as a formal withdrawal, major legal ruling against Gaspar, or sudden ticket revision before ballot finalization could still alter the result ahead of the election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions