Recent July CPI data printed a soft 0.1% month-over-month headline gain, yet trader-implied odds cluster on a 0.3–0.4% August reading because gasoline prices are projected to rebound for the first time since May while food and shelter components firm. TD Securities and other forecasters cite accelerating transportation services, higher new-vehicle prices, and persistent supercore services as key upside drivers, consistent with elevated energy costs and tariff-related goods pressures that have kept year-over-year headline inflation near 3.4%. The Federal Reserve’s September FOMC decision hinges on this release, with officials signaling they will weigh whether the data sustains the recent disinflation trend or reaccelerates, leaving room for modest variance around the modal 0.4% outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.4% 47%
0.3% 27%
≥0.5% 14%
0.2% 6%
$29,732 交易量
$29,732 交易量
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
27%
0.4%
47%
≥0.5%
14%
0.4% 47%
0.3% 27%
≥0.5% 14%
0.2% 6%
$29,732 交易量
$29,732 交易量
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
27%
0.4%
47%
≥0.5%
14%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Recent July CPI data printed a soft 0.1% month-over-month headline gain, yet trader-implied odds cluster on a 0.3–0.4% August reading because gasoline prices are projected to rebound for the first time since May while food and shelter components firm. TD Securities and other forecasters cite accelerating transportation services, higher new-vehicle prices, and persistent supercore services as key upside drivers, consistent with elevated energy costs and tariff-related goods pressures that have kept year-over-year headline inflation near 3.4%. The Federal Reserve’s September FOMC decision hinges on this release, with officials signaling they will weigh whether the data sustains the recent disinflation trend or reaccelerates, leaving room for modest variance around the modal 0.4% outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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