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icon for 亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者
選舉·中期

亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者

icon for 亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者
選舉·中期

亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for 克里斯·梅斯 (民主黨)

克里斯·梅斯 (民主黨)

$0 交易量

64%

icon for 沃倫·彼得森（共和黨）

沃倫·彼得森（共和黨）

$0 交易量

34%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克里斯·梅斯 (民主黨)" at 64%, followed by "沃倫·彼得森（共和黨）" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者" is "克里斯·梅斯 (民主黨)" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "沃倫·彼得森（共和黨）" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞利桑那州總檢察長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.