All three major rating agencies hold stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and mid-2026 reviews through the present have shown no negative watches or rating actions. The 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion eased near-term legislative risks, while the absence of fresh fiscal standoffs or abrupt policy shocks has limited downgrade pressure despite ongoing deficits and rising debt-service costs in Congressional Budget Office projections. Traders therefore assign roughly 84-85% probability to no further downgrade before the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？
在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？
是
16% 機率
$12,816 交易量
$12,816 交易量
2026-12-31
是
16% 機率
$12,816 交易量
$12,816 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major rating agencies hold stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and mid-2026 reviews through the present have shown no negative watches or rating actions. The 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion eased near-term legislative risks, while the absence of fresh fiscal standoffs or abrupt policy shocks has limited downgrade pressure despite ongoing deficits and rising debt-service costs in Congressional Budget Office projections. Traders therefore assign roughly 84-85% probability to no further downgrade before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,816結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major rating agencies hold stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and mid-2026 reviews through the present have shown no negative watches or rating actions. The 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion eased near-term legislative risks, while the absence of fresh fiscal standoffs or abrupt policy shocks has limited downgrade pressure despite ongoing deficits and rising debt-service costs in Congressional Budget Office projections. Traders therefore assign roughly 84-85% probability to no further downgrade before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,816結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...All three major rating agencies hold stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and mid-2026 reviews through the present have shown no negative watches or rating actions. The 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion eased near-term legislative risks, while the absence of fresh fiscal standoffs or abrupt policy shocks has limited downgrade pressure despite ongoing deficits and rising debt-service costs in Congressional Budget Office projections. Traders therefore assign roughly 84-85% probability to no further downgrade before the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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