Ken Sim holds the lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Vancouver mayoral contest due to his incumbency as ABC Vancouver mayor and consistent polling edges of roughly 30 percent among decided voters in early August surveys, even amid low net favorability. Pete Fry of the Green Party benefits from the highest personal ratings and strong second-place positioning in a fragmented field that includes Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, with housing costs and municipal governance emerging as central voter concerns. The crowded ballot of declared contenders, including OneCity's William Azaroff and TEAM's Colleen Hardwick, plus more than one-quarter undecided voters, sustains uncertainty reflected in current market shares. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift probabilities before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKen Sim 40%
Pete Fry 27.7%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 KL.
$175,656 KL.
Ken Sim
40%
Pete Fry
28%
Kareem Allam
13%
William Azaroff
5%
Colleen Hardwick
3%
Sean Orr
1%
John Coupar
1%
Amanda Burrows
1%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
Rebecca Bligh
1%
Stephanie Allen
1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
Ken Sim 40%
Pete Fry 27.7%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 KL.
$175,656 KL.
Ken Sim
40%
Pete Fry
28%
Kareem Allam
13%
William Azaroff
5%
Colleen Hardwick
3%
Sean Orr
1%
John Coupar
1%
Amanda Burrows
1%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
Rebecca Bligh
1%
Stephanie Allen
1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Thị trường mở: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ken Sim holds the lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Vancouver mayoral contest due to his incumbency as ABC Vancouver mayor and consistent polling edges of roughly 30 percent among decided voters in early August surveys, even amid low net favorability. Pete Fry of the Green Party benefits from the highest personal ratings and strong second-place positioning in a fragmented field that includes Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, with housing costs and municipal governance emerging as central voter concerns. The crowded ballot of declared contenders, including OneCity's William Azaroff and TEAM's Colleen Hardwick, plus more than one-quarter undecided voters, sustains uncertainty reflected in current market shares. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift probabilities before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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