The closely matched prices in the FL-09 Republican primary reflect a fragmented field of seven candidates contesting an open nomination in a newly redrawn district that shifted Republican-leaning after 2025 redistricting. A late July and early August poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied at the top, with Dan Green within the margin of error, underscoring limited name recognition and similar platforms centered on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. Recent candidate forums and scattered endorsements, including one from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, have not yet produced clear separation, while reporting on Chalifoux’s prior business record adds uncertainty. With the August 18 primary just days away, voter turnout patterns in key counties and any final-week advertising or attacks remain the primary variables that could consolidate support among the top four contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Chalifoux 29%
Ben Butler 26.6%
Dan Green 24%
Jorge Martinez 23.4%
$104,831 KL.
$104,831 KL.

Thomas Chalifoux
29%

Ben Butler
27%

Dan Green
24%

Jorge Martinez
23%

Justin Story
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Thomas Chalifoux 29%
Ben Butler 26.6%
Dan Green 24%
Jorge Martinez 23.4%
$104,831 KL.
$104,831 KL.

Thomas Chalifoux
29%

Ben Butler
27%

Dan Green
24%

Jorge Martinez
23%

Justin Story
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched prices in the FL-09 Republican primary reflect a fragmented field of seven candidates contesting an open nomination in a newly redrawn district that shifted Republican-leaning after 2025 redistricting. A late July and early August poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied at the top, with Dan Green within the margin of error, underscoring limited name recognition and similar platforms centered on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. Recent candidate forums and scattered endorsements, including one from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, have not yet produced clear separation, while reporting on Chalifoux’s prior business record adds uncertainty. With the August 18 primary just days away, voter turnout patterns in key counties and any final-week advertising or attacks remain the primary variables that could consolidate support among the top four contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp