Incumbent Cory Mills faces a tighter-than-expected Republican primary in Florida’s 7th district against challenger Ryan Elijah, with recent polls showing Mills ahead by 6–16 points amid high undecided shares. Elijah has narrowed the gap through stronger July fundraising, endorsements from Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Mike Haridopolos, and a contentious August 5 debate highlighting Mills’ ethics committee referral and lower incumbent support. Other candidates Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich remain in single digits. The market’s heavy weighting on “Other” alongside clustered narrow-margin contracts for both frontrunners reflects trader views of a competitive race where final turnout, late endorsements, or unresolved ethics questions could determine the exact victory margin ahead of the August 18 primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtElijah 10–15% 23%
Elijah 20–25% 23%
Elijah 25%+ 23%
Mills 25%+ 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Mills 25%+
22%
Mills 20–25%
22%
Mills 15–20%
22%
Mills 10–15%
22%
Mills 5–10%
22%
Mills <5%
22%
Elijah <5%
14%
Elijah 5–10%
22%
Elijah 10–15%
23%
Elijah 15–20%
22%
Elijah 20–25%
23%
Elijah 25%+
23%
Elijah 10–15% 23%
Elijah 20–25% 23%
Elijah 25%+ 23%
Mills 25%+ 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Mills 25%+
$0 KL.
22%
Mills 20–25%
$0 KL.
22%
Mills 15–20%
$0 KL.
22%
Mills 10–15%
$0 KL.
22%
Mills 5–10%
$0 KL.
22%
Mills <5%
$0 KL.
22%
Elijah <5%
$0 KL.
14%
Elijah 5–10%
$0 KL.
22%
Elijah 10–15%
$0 KL.
23%
Elijah 15–20%
$0 KL.
22%
Elijah 20–25%
$0 KL.
23%
Elijah 25%+
$0 KL.
23%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Cory Mills faces a tighter-than-expected Republican primary in Florida’s 7th district against challenger Ryan Elijah, with recent polls showing Mills ahead by 6–16 points amid high undecided shares. Elijah has narrowed the gap through stronger July fundraising, endorsements from Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Mike Haridopolos, and a contentious August 5 debate highlighting Mills’ ethics committee referral and lower incumbent support. Other candidates Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich remain in single digits. The market’s heavy weighting on “Other” alongside clustered narrow-margin contracts for both frontrunners reflects trader views of a competitive race where final turnout, late endorsements, or unresolved ethics questions could determine the exact victory margin ahead of the August 18 primary.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Cory Mills faces a tighter-than-expected Republican primary in Florida’s 7th district against challenger Ryan Elijah, with recent polls showing Mills ahead by 6–16 points amid high undecided shares. Elijah has narrowed the gap through stronger July fundraising, endorsements from Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Mike Haridopolos, and a contentious August 5 debate highlighting Mills’ ethics committee referral and lower incumbent support. Other candidates Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich remain in single digits. The market’s heavy weighting on “Other” alongside clustered narrow-margin contracts for both frontrunners reflects trader views of a competitive race where final turnout, late endorsements, or unresolved ethics questions could determine the exact victory margin ahead of the August 18 primary.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Cory Mills faces a tighter-than-expected Republican primary in Florida’s 7th district against challenger Ryan Elijah, with recent polls showing Mills ahead by 6–16 points amid high undecided shares. Elijah has narrowed the gap through stronger July fundraising, endorsements from Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Mike Haridopolos, and a contentious August 5 debate highlighting Mills’ ethics committee referral and lower incumbent support. Other candidates Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich remain in single digits. The market’s heavy weighting on “Other” alongside clustered narrow-margin contracts for both frontrunners reflects trader views of a competitive race where final turnout, late endorsements, or unresolved ethics questions could determine the exact victory margin ahead of the August 18 primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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