Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.7-5.0% 27.2%
4.4-4.7% 21.4%
>5.0% 18.1%
2.9-3.2% 6.1%
$42,503 KL.
$42,503 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
6%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
5%
4.1-4.4%
5%
4.4-4.7%
21%
4.7-5.0%
27%
>5.0%
18%
4.7-5.0% 27.2%
4.4-4.7% 21.4%
>5.0% 18.1%
2.9-3.2% 6.1%
$42,503 KL.
$42,503 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 KL.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,864 KL.
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 KL.
6%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 KL.
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 KL.
4%
3.8-4.1%
$3,448 KL.
5%
4.1-4.4%
$3,409 KL.
5%
4.4-4.7%
$14,995 KL.
21%
4.7-5.0%
$3,898 KL.
27%
>5.0%
$9,062 KL.
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Thị trường mở: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,503Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Khối lượng
$42,503Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South African inflation prints have shown volatility driven primarily by transport costs, with the June 2026 annual rate reaching 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July amid softer fuel and municipal tariff pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate stands at 7%, with its Quarterly Projection Model indicating headline inflation likely to average near 4.4% for the full year before moderating toward the 3% target. Food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation has continued to decline, providing an offset to energy-driven upside risks, while core measures remain anchored around 4.2%. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 4.4–5.0% range because traders weigh ongoing global oil price sensitivity and administered price adjustments against the central bank’s commitment to prevent second-round effects. The August CPI release, due shortly, and the September Monetary Policy Committee meeting represent near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution if fuel costs reaccelerate or disinflation broadens faster than expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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