Recent strong August jobs data, showing nearly three times the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 62%, supporting higher Treasury yields amid persistent inflation pressures. The 30-year yield closed at 5.24% on September 4, up over 7% year-over-year and well above its long-term average of 3.38%, as the Fed maintains its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range while monitoring core PCE readings near 3.4%. Upcoming CPI and PPI releases will provide key signals on whether price pressures moderate enough to ease rate-hike bets, directly influencing near-term yield movements and trader positioning in the final weeks of the month.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
5.60%
38%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
50%
5.42%
50%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
50%
5.33%
51%
5.30%
63%
$0.00 KL.
5.60%
$0 KL.
38%
5.55%
$0 KL.
50%
5.50%
$0 KL.
50%
5.45%
$0 KL.
50%
5.42%
$0 KL.
50%
5.39%
$0 KL.
50%
5.36%
$0 KL.
50%
5.33%
$0 KL.
51%
5.30%
$0 KL.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strong August jobs data, showing nearly three times the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 62%, supporting higher Treasury yields amid persistent inflation pressures. The 30-year yield closed at 5.24% on September 4, up over 7% year-over-year and well above its long-term average of 3.38%, as the Fed maintains its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range while monitoring core PCE readings near 3.4%. Upcoming CPI and PPI releases will provide key signals on whether price pressures moderate enough to ease rate-hike bets, directly influencing near-term yield movements and trader positioning in the final weeks of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strong August jobs data, showing nearly three times the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 62%, supporting higher Treasury yields amid persistent inflation pressures. The 30-year yield closed at 5.24% on September 4, up over 7% year-over-year and well above its long-term average of 3.38%, as the Fed maintains its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range while monitoring core PCE readings near 3.4%. Upcoming CPI and PPI releases will provide key signals on whether price pressures moderate enough to ease rate-hike bets, directly influencing near-term yield movements and trader positioning in the final weeks of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent strong August jobs data, showing nearly three times the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 62%, supporting higher Treasury yields amid persistent inflation pressures. The 30-year yield closed at 5.24% on September 4, up over 7% year-over-year and well above its long-term average of 3.38%, as the Fed maintains its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range while monitoring core PCE readings near 3.4%. Upcoming CPI and PPI releases will provide key signals on whether price pressures moderate enough to ease rate-hike bets, directly influencing near-term yield movements and trader positioning in the final weeks of the month.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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