Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models projects Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 25 near 25–26°C amid persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and the absence of advancing frontal systems or significant precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated overnight, consistent with climatological norms for late August in the North China Plain. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for a low of 25°C or higher while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or clearer skies. Updated guidance expected from official agencies overnight will further refine resolution criteria for this temperature market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 97%
15°C or below 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
15°C or below
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
97%
25°C or higher 97%
15°C or below 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
15°C or below
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models projects Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 25 near 25–26°C amid persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and the absence of advancing frontal systems or significant precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated overnight, consistent with climatological norms for late August in the North China Plain. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for a low of 25°C or higher while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or clearer skies. Updated guidance expected from official agencies overnight will further refine resolution criteria for this temperature market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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