Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers project an overnight low near 28°C in Wuhan on August 24, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air under weak steering flow typical of late-August Yangtze basin conditions. This aligns with climatological averages of 26–27°C for the period and recent model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling amid high moisture and light winds. Traders have converged on 27–28°C outcomes as the most probable, reflecting consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models, with minimal signals for stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings lower. Updated short-range forecasts and any regional pressure shifts remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
32°C or higher 57%
28°C 43%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
43%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
57%
32°C or higher 57%
28°C 43%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
43%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers project an overnight low near 28°C in Wuhan on August 24, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air under weak steering flow typical of late-August Yangtze basin conditions. This aligns with climatological averages of 26–27°C for the period and recent model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling amid high moisture and light winds. Traders have converged on 27–28°C outcomes as the most probable, reflecting consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models, with minimal signals for stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings lower. Updated short-range forecasts and any regional pressure shifts remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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