**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent outputs from numerical weather prediction models such as the GFS, which projected overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, yielding a minimum near 13°C (56°F) in the pre-dawn hours. Recent observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport and city stations align with this range, showing early-morning readings around 15–16°C after similar cool nights, while climatological norms for late August support lows in the low-to-mid 50s °F. Key resolution thresholds center on official meteorological station data. Uncertainties could arise from forecast revisions if cloud cover or wind patterns reduce cooling more than modeled, or from localized urban heat island effects elevating the recorded minimum above 13°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
13°C 96%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
8°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
3%
13°C
96%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 96%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
8°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$342 KL.
<1%
9°C
$183 KL.
<1%
10°C
$143 KL.
<1%
11°C
$89 KL.
6%
12°C
$92 KL.
3%
13°C
$323 KL.
96%
14°C
$473 KL.
<1%
15°C
$164 KL.
<1%
16°C
$540 KL.
<1%
17°C
$145 KL.
<1%
18°C or higher
$184 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent outputs from numerical weather prediction models such as the GFS, which projected overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, yielding a minimum near 13°C (56°F) in the pre-dawn hours. Recent observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport and city stations align with this range, showing early-morning readings around 15–16°C after similar cool nights, while climatological norms for late August support lows in the low-to-mid 50s °F. Key resolution thresholds center on official meteorological station data. Uncertainties could arise from forecast revisions if cloud cover or wind patterns reduce cooling more than modeled, or from localized urban heat island effects elevating the recorded minimum above 13°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,678Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent outputs from numerical weather prediction models such as the GFS, which projected overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, yielding a minimum near 13°C (56°F) in the pre-dawn hours. Recent observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport and city stations align with this range, showing early-morning readings around 15–16°C after similar cool nights, while climatological norms for late August support lows in the low-to-mid 50s °F. Key resolution thresholds center on official meteorological station data. Uncertainties could arise from forecast revisions if cloud cover or wind patterns reduce cooling more than modeled, or from localized urban heat island effects elevating the recorded minimum above 13°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,678Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent outputs from numerical weather prediction models such as the GFS, which projected overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, yielding a minimum near 13°C (56°F) in the pre-dawn hours. Recent observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport and city stations align with this range, showing early-morning readings around 15–16°C after similar cool nights, while climatological norms for late August support lows in the low-to-mid 50s °F. Key resolution thresholds center on official meteorological station data. Uncertainties could arise from forecast revisions if cloud cover or wind patterns reduce cooling more than modeled, or from localized urban heat island effects elevating the recorded minimum above 13°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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