Traders assign overwhelming probability (97.5%) to a 26°C low in Shanghai on August 18 because official forecasts and recent observations consistently place overnight minimums at or near that threshold under prevailing subtropical summer conditions. High humidity and light easterly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures aligned with climatological averages for mid-August, when lows typically range 24–27°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with no significant cold-air advection or heavy precipitation expected to depress readings further. Only an unanticipated late-day shower or localized urban heat-island variation could realistically shift the outcome toward 25°C or lower, scenarios assigned minimal market weight given current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
26°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
MỚI
$15,372 KL.
MỚI
$15,372 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
MỚI
$15,372 KL.
MỚI
$15,372 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$462 KL.
<1%
21°C
$462 KL.
<1%
22°C
$331 KL.
<1%
23°C
$436 KL.
<1%
24°C
$669 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,742 KL.
1%
26°C
$3,225 KL.
99%
27°C
$4,660 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,641 KL.
<1%
29°C
$418 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$326 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability (97.5%) to a 26°C low in Shanghai on August 18 because official forecasts and recent observations consistently place overnight minimums at or near that threshold under prevailing subtropical summer conditions. High humidity and light easterly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures aligned with climatological averages for mid-August, when lows typically range 24–27°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with no significant cold-air advection or heavy precipitation expected to depress readings further. Only an unanticipated late-day shower or localized urban heat-island variation could realistically shift the outcome toward 25°C or lower, scenarios assigned minimal market weight given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,372Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability (97.5%) to a 26°C low in Shanghai on August 18 because official forecasts and recent observations consistently place overnight minimums at or near that threshold under prevailing subtropical summer conditions. High humidity and light easterly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures aligned with climatological averages for mid-August, when lows typically range 24–27°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with no significant cold-air advection or heavy precipitation expected to depress readings further. Only an unanticipated late-day shower or localized urban heat-island variation could realistically shift the outcome toward 25°C or lower, scenarios assigned minimal market weight given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,372Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability (97.5%) to a 26°C low in Shanghai on August 18 because official forecasts and recent observations consistently place overnight minimums at or near that threshold under prevailing subtropical summer conditions. High humidity and light easterly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures aligned with climatological averages for mid-August, when lows typically range 24–27°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with no significant cold-air advection or heavy precipitation expected to depress readings further. Only an unanticipated late-day shower or localized urban heat-island variation could realistically shift the outcome toward 25°C or lower, scenarios assigned minimal market weight given current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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