The active southwest monsoon (Habagat) over Luzon, reinforced by distant tropical systems, is the primary driver behind the market's concentration on 28–30°C outcomes for Manila's August 19 high. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall limit solar insolation and daytime heating, typical of peak wet-season conditions. Official PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance indicate August highs averaging near 30°C, with recent advisories projecting moderate-to-heavy monsoon rains over Metro Manila through August 19 that favor suppressed maxima around 28–29°C. Historical climatology shows similar monsoon-influenced peaks in this range, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited scope for rapid clearing or intensification under current steering patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 19?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 19?
29°C 38%
28°C 21%
30°C 20%
27°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
38%
30°C
20%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 38%
28°C 21%
30°C 20%
27°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$186 KL.
<1%
23°C
$186 KL.
<1%
24°C
$196 KL.
<1%
25°C
$259 KL.
2%
26°C
$118 KL.
4%
27°C
$309 KL.
7%
28°C
$1,238 KL.
21%
29°C
$321 KL.
38%
30°C
$310 KL.
20%
31°C
$246 KL.
6%
32°C or higher
$65 KL.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (Habagat) over Luzon, reinforced by distant tropical systems, is the primary driver behind the market's concentration on 28–30°C outcomes for Manila's August 19 high. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall limit solar insolation and daytime heating, typical of peak wet-season conditions. Official PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance indicate August highs averaging near 30°C, with recent advisories projecting moderate-to-heavy monsoon rains over Metro Manila through August 19 that favor suppressed maxima around 28–29°C. Historical climatology shows similar monsoon-influenced peaks in this range, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited scope for rapid clearing or intensification under current steering patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,434Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (Habagat) over Luzon, reinforced by distant tropical systems, is the primary driver behind the market's concentration on 28–30°C outcomes for Manila's August 19 high. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall limit solar insolation and daytime heating, typical of peak wet-season conditions. Official PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance indicate August highs averaging near 30°C, with recent advisories projecting moderate-to-heavy monsoon rains over Metro Manila through August 19 that favor suppressed maxima around 28–29°C. Historical climatology shows similar monsoon-influenced peaks in this range, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited scope for rapid clearing or intensification under current steering patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,434Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon (Habagat) over Luzon, reinforced by distant tropical systems, is the primary driver behind the market's concentration on 28–30°C outcomes for Manila's August 19 high. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall limit solar insolation and daytime heating, typical of peak wet-season conditions. Official PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance indicate August highs averaging near 30°C, with recent advisories projecting moderate-to-heavy monsoon rains over Metro Manila through August 19 that favor suppressed maxima around 28–29°C. Historical climatology shows similar monsoon-influenced peaks in this range, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited scope for rapid clearing or intensification under current steering patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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