The active southwest monsoon over Luzon continues to moderate daytime heating in Manila ahead of August 18, with official PAGASA guidance projecting a 25–32°C range and 60% rain probability alongside potential for 50–100 mm of rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar insolation, positioning 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 27°C and 29°C. Recent model consensus and observations align with this clustering around 28–29°C rather than the seasonal average near 30–31°C, as stronger monsoon flow suppresses peaks above 30°C. Any localized breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current patterns show stability with minimal risk of significant shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 18?
28°C 45%
27°C 27%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
MỚI
$12,331 KL.
MỚI
$12,331 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 27%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
MỚI
$12,331 KL.
MỚI
$12,331 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$102 KL.
<1%
23°C
$132 KL.
<1%
24°C
$272 KL.
<1%
25°C
$396 KL.
1%
26°C
$958 KL.
6%
27°C
$2,874 KL.
27%
28°C
$2,809 KL.
45%
29°C
$2,464 KL.
21%
30°C
$924 KL.
5%
31°C
$569 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$871 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon over Luzon continues to moderate daytime heating in Manila ahead of August 18, with official PAGASA guidance projecting a 25–32°C range and 60% rain probability alongside potential for 50–100 mm of rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar insolation, positioning 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 27°C and 29°C. Recent model consensus and observations align with this clustering around 28–29°C rather than the seasonal average near 30–31°C, as stronger monsoon flow suppresses peaks above 30°C. Any localized breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current patterns show stability with minimal risk of significant shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,331Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon over Luzon continues to moderate daytime heating in Manila ahead of August 18, with official PAGASA guidance projecting a 25–32°C range and 60% rain probability alongside potential for 50–100 mm of rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar insolation, positioning 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 27°C and 29°C. Recent model consensus and observations align with this clustering around 28–29°C rather than the seasonal average near 30–31°C, as stronger monsoon flow suppresses peaks above 30°C. Any localized breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current patterns show stability with minimal risk of significant shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,331Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon over Luzon continues to moderate daytime heating in Manila ahead of August 18, with official PAGASA guidance projecting a 25–32°C range and 60% rain probability alongside potential for 50–100 mm of rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar insolation, positioning 28°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 27°C and 29°C. Recent model consensus and observations align with this clustering around 28–29°C rather than the seasonal average near 30–31°C, as stronger monsoon flow suppresses peaks above 30°C. Any localized breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current patterns show stability with minimal risk of significant shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp