Official forecasts from Environment Canada, projecting a mainly sunny high of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 18 with a humidex near 30, anchor trader sentiment and explain the 61% implied probability on 27°C alongside 25.5% on 28°C. These align with typical late-summer patterns of warm, stable air masses under clear skies, slightly above the month’s 24–25°C average high. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon cloud or isolated shower risks that could trim the peak by 1°C. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this narrow range, prompting the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes while assigning minimal weight to cooler or hotter extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 18?
27°C 62%
28°C 26%
26°C 9%
29°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
62%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 26%
26°C 9%
29°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$45 KL.
<1%
23°C
$182 KL.
<1%
24°C
$477 KL.
<1%
25°C
$372 KL.
3%
26°C
$710 KL.
9%
27°C
$2,132 KL.
62%
28°C
$655 KL.
26%
29°C
$542 KL.
4%
30°C
$426 KL.
1%
31°C
$388 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$120 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada, projecting a mainly sunny high of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 18 with a humidex near 30, anchor trader sentiment and explain the 61% implied probability on 27°C alongside 25.5% on 28°C. These align with typical late-summer patterns of warm, stable air masses under clear skies, slightly above the month’s 24–25°C average high. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon cloud or isolated shower risks that could trim the peak by 1°C. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this narrow range, prompting the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes while assigning minimal weight to cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,049Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada, projecting a mainly sunny high of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 18 with a humidex near 30, anchor trader sentiment and explain the 61% implied probability on 27°C alongside 25.5% on 28°C. These align with typical late-summer patterns of warm, stable air masses under clear skies, slightly above the month’s 24–25°C average high. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon cloud or isolated shower risks that could trim the peak by 1°C. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this narrow range, prompting the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes while assigning minimal weight to cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,049Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada, projecting a mainly sunny high of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 18 with a humidex near 30, anchor trader sentiment and explain the 61% implied probability on 27°C alongside 25.5% on 28°C. These align with typical late-summer patterns of warm, stable air masses under clear skies, slightly above the month’s 24–25°C average high. Model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest afternoon cloud or isolated shower risks that could trim the peak by 1°C. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this narrow range, prompting the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes while assigning minimal weight to cooler or hotter extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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