Trader consensus strongly favors the 78-79°F bracket for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology, combined with an ongoing warmer-than-average summer pattern, produces typical daily maxima near 77-79°F under standard ridge-driven conditions. NOAA and NWS model guidance aligned with historical baselines showing limited deviation potential, while observed surface temperatures and upper-air support reinforced the narrow range. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable steering patterns and absence of anomalous marine-layer influence or cold-air advection. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to late-day forecast revisions from coastal stratus or localized wind shifts that might cap readings one to two degrees lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 17?
78-79°F 97%
80-81°F 4%
82-83°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$40,816 KL.
$40,816 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
97%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 97%
80-81°F 4%
82-83°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$40,816 KL.
$40,816 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
71°F or below
$7,827 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,485 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,526 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,285 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,081 KL.
97%
80-81°F
$3,396 KL.
4%
82-83°F
$2,522 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$1,583 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,034 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$416 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$662 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors the 78-79°F bracket for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology, combined with an ongoing warmer-than-average summer pattern, produces typical daily maxima near 77-79°F under standard ridge-driven conditions. NOAA and NWS model guidance aligned with historical baselines showing limited deviation potential, while observed surface temperatures and upper-air support reinforced the narrow range. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable steering patterns and absence of anomalous marine-layer influence or cold-air advection. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to late-day forecast revisions from coastal stratus or localized wind shifts that might cap readings one to two degrees lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$40,816Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors the 78-79°F bracket for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology, combined with an ongoing warmer-than-average summer pattern, produces typical daily maxima near 77-79°F under standard ridge-driven conditions. NOAA and NWS model guidance aligned with historical baselines showing limited deviation potential, while observed surface temperatures and upper-air support reinforced the narrow range. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable steering patterns and absence of anomalous marine-layer influence or cold-air advection. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to late-day forecast revisions from coastal stratus or localized wind shifts that might cap readings one to two degrees lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$40,816Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors the 78-79°F bracket for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology, combined with an ongoing warmer-than-average summer pattern, produces typical daily maxima near 77-79°F under standard ridge-driven conditions. NOAA and NWS model guidance aligned with historical baselines showing limited deviation potential, while observed surface temperatures and upper-air support reinforced the narrow range. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable steering patterns and absence of anomalous marine-layer influence or cold-air advection. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to late-day forecast revisions from coastal stratus or localized wind shifts that might cap readings one to two degrees lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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