Recent showers and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on August 19 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 27–28°C as the highest temperature. High humidity and reduced solar insolation under the East Asian monsoon pattern limit daytime heating compared with typical late-summer clear-sky maxima near 30–32°C. Official guidance and ensemble models show scattered precipitation and moderate winds that promote evaporative cooling, shifting trader consensus away from higher outcomes. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading from local stations, any last-minute clearing could still push the high toward 29°C before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 19?
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
25%
28°C
27%
29°C
17%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
25%
28°C
27%
29°C
17%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent showers and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on August 19 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 27–28°C as the highest temperature. High humidity and reduced solar insolation under the East Asian monsoon pattern limit daytime heating compared with typical late-summer clear-sky maxima near 30–32°C. Official guidance and ensemble models show scattered precipitation and moderate winds that promote evaporative cooling, shifting trader consensus away from higher outcomes. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading from local stations, any last-minute clearing could still push the high toward 29°C before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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