Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
21°C 46%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
23°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
23%
21°C
46%
22°C
25%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 46%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
23°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
14°C or below
$191 KL.
<1%
15°C
$176 KL.
<1%
16°C
$56 KL.
<1%
17°C
$398 KL.
<1%
18°C
$347 KL.
3%
19°C
$442 KL.
4%
20°C
$200 KL.
23%
21°C
$301 KL.
46%
22°C
$1,362 KL.
25%
23°C
$30 KL.
6%
24°C or higher
$114 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,616Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,616Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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