Recent forecasts from multiple models position 34–36°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's August 19 maximum, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that maintains hot, humid conditions typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Ensemble predictions show daytime peaks near 34–35°C with thundery showers possible, which could slightly suppress extremes through cloud cover and localized cooling. Trader consensus aligns with these outputs and historical August baselines of 35–39°C, though model spread around convective timing introduces modest uncertainty for the exact daily high. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine land-based observations ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 19?
35°C 43%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
22%
35°C
43%
36°C
27%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 43%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
22%
35°C
43%
36°C
27%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models position 34–36°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's August 19 maximum, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that maintains hot, humid conditions typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Ensemble predictions show daytime peaks near 34–35°C with thundery showers possible, which could slightly suppress extremes through cloud cover and localized cooling. Trader consensus aligns with these outputs and historical August baselines of 35–39°C, though model spread around convective timing introduces modest uncertainty for the exact daily high. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine land-based observations ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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