Forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a peak around 34–35°C for Taipei on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 35°C (37.5%) and 34°C (29%). Summer monsoon patterns, elevated humidity near 80%, and the urban heat island effect typically support highs in this range, while scattered afternoon showers and variable cloud cover can limit further warming or produce brief spikes. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the timing of any convective activity, as small shifts in precipitation or insolation could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 33–36°C brackets. Updated observations later today will clarify the final reading.