Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$145,830 KL.
$145,830 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$145,830 KL.
$145,830 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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