Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season dynamics, including afternoon convective storms and cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 24–27°C for the August 19 high, with near-even implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming. Official forecasts highlight typical highs of 23–26°C under variable humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines where extremes above 28°C remain uncommon without strong high-pressure anomalies. Short-term NHC and regional model runs show limited divergence, underscoring forecast uncertainty from precipitation timing and urban heat effects that could shift the peak by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
26°C 39%
25°C 29%
27°C 20%
24°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
29%
26°C
39%
27°C
32%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 29%
27°C 20%
24°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
23°C
$0 KL.
10%
24°C
$0 KL.
10%
25°C
$0 KL.
29%
26°C
$0 KL.
39%
27°C
$5 KL.
32%
28°C
$0 KL.
5%
29°C
$10 KL.
7%
30°C
$10 KL.
5%
31°C
$5 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$8 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season dynamics, including afternoon convective storms and cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 24–27°C for the August 19 high, with near-even implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming. Official forecasts highlight typical highs of 23–26°C under variable humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines where extremes above 28°C remain uncommon without strong high-pressure anomalies. Short-term NHC and regional model runs show limited divergence, underscoring forecast uncertainty from precipitation timing and urban heat effects that could shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$38Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season dynamics, including afternoon convective storms and cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 24–27°C for the August 19 high, with near-even implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming. Official forecasts highlight typical highs of 23–26°C under variable humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines where extremes above 28°C remain uncommon without strong high-pressure anomalies. Short-term NHC and regional model runs show limited divergence, underscoring forecast uncertainty from precipitation timing and urban heat effects that could shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$38Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season dynamics, including afternoon convective storms and cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 24–27°C for the August 19 high, with near-even implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming. Official forecasts highlight typical highs of 23–26°C under variable humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines where extremes above 28°C remain uncommon without strong high-pressure anomalies. Short-term NHC and regional model runs show limited divergence, underscoring forecast uncertainty from precipitation timing and urban heat effects that could shift the peak by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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