Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
27°C 89%
26°C 37%
24°C 32%
25°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
20%
24°C
32%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
70%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 89%
26°C 37%
24°C 32%
25°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$134 KL.
<1%
22°C
$246 KL.
1%
23°C
$365 KL.
20%
24°C
$98 KL.
32%
25°C
$72 KL.
23%
26°C
$21 KL.
29%
27°C
$76 KL.
70%
28°C
$302 KL.
<1%
29°C
$404 KL.
<1%
30°C
$150 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,083Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,083Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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