Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C low in Paris on August 23, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Official forecasts from Météo-France and numerical models indicate overnight radiative cooling will bottom out near this value, consistent with the month's climatological minimum around 14°C and recent observations showing 13–15°C lows amid drier air masses. This positioning aligns with verified model consensus and real-time surface observations rather than speculative projections. A realistic challenge could arise only from unexpected increases in cloud cover or a wind shift that limits cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of deviation outside the 12–14°C range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
13°C 99%
11°C 2%
9°C <1%
12°C <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99%
11°C 2%
9°C <1%
12°C <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C low in Paris on August 23, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Official forecasts from Météo-France and numerical models indicate overnight radiative cooling will bottom out near this value, consistent with the month's climatological minimum around 14°C and recent observations showing 13–15°C lows amid drier air masses. This positioning aligns with verified model consensus and real-time surface observations rather than speculative projections. A realistic challenge could arise only from unexpected increases in cloud cover or a wind shift that limits cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of deviation outside the 12–14°C range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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