Trader consensus on the lowest NYC temperature for August 24 centers on the 64–69°F range because ensemble forecasts from the GFS, ECMWF, and National Weather Service models show overnight lows clustering there amid a warmer-than-average late-summer pattern. High dew points near 70°F and light southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers introduce 2–4°F uncertainty across model runs. Recent observations of elevated minimums (lows near 70–72°F) and the Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above normal” August outlook reinforce this tight band, with traders pricing modest downside risk only if clearer skies develop overnight. Resolution hinges on official Central Park readings at midnight and 6 a.m. EDT.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 28%
58-59°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 28%
58-59°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$5 KL.
4%
56-57°F
$5 KL.
7%
58-59°F
$5 KL.
11%
60-61°F
$172 KL.
9%
62-63°F
$7 KL.
10%
64-65°F
$1 KL.
28%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
36%
68-69°F
$77 KL.
33%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
7%
72-73°F
$9 KL.
4%
74°F or higher
$5 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest NYC temperature for August 24 centers on the 64–69°F range because ensemble forecasts from the GFS, ECMWF, and National Weather Service models show overnight lows clustering there amid a warmer-than-average late-summer pattern. High dew points near 70°F and light southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers introduce 2–4°F uncertainty across model runs. Recent observations of elevated minimums (lows near 70–72°F) and the Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above normal” August outlook reinforce this tight band, with traders pricing modest downside risk only if clearer skies develop overnight. Resolution hinges on official Central Park readings at midnight and 6 a.m. EDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$287Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest NYC temperature for August 24 centers on the 64–69°F range because ensemble forecasts from the GFS, ECMWF, and National Weather Service models show overnight lows clustering there amid a warmer-than-average late-summer pattern. High dew points near 70°F and light southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers introduce 2–4°F uncertainty across model runs. Recent observations of elevated minimums (lows near 70–72°F) and the Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above normal” August outlook reinforce this tight band, with traders pricing modest downside risk only if clearer skies develop overnight. Resolution hinges on official Central Park readings at midnight and 6 a.m. EDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$287Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest NYC temperature for August 24 centers on the 64–69°F range because ensemble forecasts from the GFS, ECMWF, and National Weather Service models show overnight lows clustering there amid a warmer-than-average late-summer pattern. High dew points near 70°F and light southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers introduce 2–4°F uncertainty across model runs. Recent observations of elevated minimums (lows near 70–72°F) and the Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above normal” August outlook reinforce this tight band, with traders pricing modest downside risk only if clearer skies develop overnight. Resolution hinges on official Central Park readings at midnight and 6 a.m. EDT.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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