Updated GFS model runs and observational data position the overnight low in Munich near 13–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 5, reflecting clear skies developing after morning showers, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal averages around 11.6°C but tempered by residual moisture and cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C, with 13°C and 14°C also prominent, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure building. Upcoming evening model updates and real-time station readings will refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 5?
13°C 43%
14°C 25%
12°C 5%
11°C or below 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
43%
14°C
25%
15°C
61%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
13°C 43%
14°C 25%
12°C 5%
11°C or below 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
11°C or below
$32 KL.
2%
12°C
$32 KL.
5%
13°C
$0 KL.
43%
14°C
$0 KL.
25%
15°C
$55 KL.
61%
16°C
$389 KL.
<1%
17°C
$76 KL.
<1%
18°C
$69 KL.
<1%
19°C
$32 KL.
<1%
20°C
$47 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$32 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated GFS model runs and observational data position the overnight low in Munich near 13–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 5, reflecting clear skies developing after morning showers, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal averages around 11.6°C but tempered by residual moisture and cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C, with 13°C and 14°C also prominent, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure building. Upcoming evening model updates and real-time station readings will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$764Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated GFS model runs and observational data position the overnight low in Munich near 13–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 5, reflecting clear skies developing after morning showers, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal averages around 11.6°C but tempered by residual moisture and cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C, with 13°C and 14°C also prominent, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure building. Upcoming evening model updates and real-time station readings will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$764Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Updated GFS model runs and observational data position the overnight low in Munich near 13–15°C as the most likely outcome for September 5, reflecting clear skies developing after morning showers, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal averages around 11.6°C but tempered by residual moisture and cloud cover limiting further drops. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C, with 13°C and 14°C also prominent, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure building. Upcoming evening model updates and real-time station readings will refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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