Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS places Amsterdam’s September 6 high near 21–22 °C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and surface high pressure near 1025 hPa. This pattern favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.2 °C without triggering the stronger advection needed for 24 °C or higher. Model consensus remains tight through the final 24–48 hours before resolution, limiting upside or downside surprises and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to keep the daily maximum within a narrow range, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to outcomes outside 21–23 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 64%
23°C 17%
21°C 16%
24°C 4%
MỚI
$31,648 KL.
MỚI
$31,648 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
64%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 64%
23°C 17%
21°C 16%
24°C 4%
MỚI
$31,648 KL.
MỚI
$31,648 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$145 KL.
<1%
17°C
$382 KL.
<1%
18°C
$26,704 KL.
<1%
19°C
$334 KL.
1%
20°C
$475 KL.
3%
21°C
$912 KL.
16%
22°C
$938 KL.
64%
23°C
$950 KL.
17%
24°C
$276 KL.
4%
25°C
$150 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$382 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS places Amsterdam’s September 6 high near 21–22 °C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and surface high pressure near 1025 hPa. This pattern favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.2 °C without triggering the stronger advection needed for 24 °C or higher. Model consensus remains tight through the final 24–48 hours before resolution, limiting upside or downside surprises and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to keep the daily maximum within a narrow range, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to outcomes outside 21–23 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,648Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS places Amsterdam’s September 6 high near 21–22 °C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and surface high pressure near 1025 hPa. This pattern favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.2 °C without triggering the stronger advection needed for 24 °C or higher. Model consensus remains tight through the final 24–48 hours before resolution, limiting upside or downside surprises and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to keep the daily maximum within a narrow range, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to outcomes outside 21–23 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,648Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS places Amsterdam’s September 6 high near 21–22 °C under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and surface high pressure near 1025 hPa. This pattern favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.2 °C without triggering the stronger advection needed for 24 °C or higher. Model consensus remains tight through the final 24–48 hours before resolution, limiting upside or downside surprises and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to keep the daily maximum within a narrow range, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to outcomes outside 21–23 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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