Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Lucknow on September 5, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers expected. This aligns with observed values the prior day (32.3°C) and aligns with monsoon-season patterns that limit daytime heating through high humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. Multiple models converge on highs of 31–32°C, supporting the strong market-implied probability for 32°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly clearer conditions or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation and a push toward 33°C or higher, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely. Updated IMD observations or model runs later today could refine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
32°C 94%
33°C 6%
34°C or higher 1.0%
31°C <1%
$43,839 KL.
$43,839 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
94%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
32°C 94%
33°C 6%
34°C or higher 1.0%
31°C <1%
$43,839 KL.
$43,839 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
94%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Lucknow on September 5, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers expected. This aligns with observed values the prior day (32.3°C) and aligns with monsoon-season patterns that limit daytime heating through high humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. Multiple models converge on highs of 31–32°C, supporting the strong market-implied probability for 32°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly clearer conditions or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation and a push toward 33°C or higher, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely. Updated IMD observations or model runs later today could refine the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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