Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?
19°C 51%
20°C 41%
18°C 8%
21°C 5%
$47,087 KL.
$47,087 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
8%
19°C
51%
20°C
41%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
20°C 41%
18°C 8%
21°C 5%
$47,087 KL.
$47,087 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
15°C or below
$381 KL.
<1%
16°C
$491 KL.
<1%
17°C
$16,324 KL.
<1%
18°C
$4,727 KL.
8%
19°C
$8,090 KL.
51%
20°C
$8,892 KL.
41%
21°C
$3,673 KL.
5%
22°C
$2,410 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,563 KL.
<1%
24°C
$316 KL.
<1%
25°C or higher
$221 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47,087Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$47,087Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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